The Gunners lost 2-0 at White Hart Lane on Sunday to fall 17 points behind Tottenham in the Premier League. The result means that Spurs will finish above Arsenal for the first time since 1995. The gap in the standings is embarrassing but reflects the gulf in class between the two teams.
Photo credit: http://www.arsenal.com
Much of the talk before the game was about a power shift in North London. Wenger said it would take Spurs more than a season to undo the 20 consecutive celebrations of St Totteringham’s Day under his tenure. The trouble is that Arsenal’s results in the North London derby have been poor since Pochettino became the Tottenham manager: 2 losses and 4 draws in 6 Premier League games.
What really hurts is that Spurs are getting better results despite having a smaller payroll and spending less money in the transfer market. Pochettino could almost be the poster boy for the football version of Moneyball. By contrast, the Gunners have spent a lot of money in the past couple of years on average players. Tottenham fans were so happy about Arsenal’s bad business that they even sang: “Arsene Wenger, we want you to stay.”
Wenger could still survive when competing against managers like Rodgers, Moyes, Van Gaal, Sherwood, Villas-Boas and Pellegrini. But the situation has dramatically changed. The new generation of managers (Klopp, Pochettino, Conte, Guardiola) are simply better. Wenger has contributed to the success of the Premier League with his rivalry against Ferguson, Mourinho and Benitez. Ironically, this success has led to Wenger’s slow demise by attracting the best managers and turning the Premier League into a world championship of managers.
It’s the players, not the system
Wenger made 3 changes to the side that edged Leicester 1-0 last week with Oxlade-Chamberlain, Ramsey and Giroud replacing Bellerin, Coquelin and Walcott in the starting lineup. The French manager relied again on the 3-4-3 formation that produced wins over Middlesbrough, Manchester City and Leicester.
Sunday’s game showed that whatever system is used, the result still depends on individual performances. Giroud lacked support against Manchester City and the Gunners lacked penetration against Leicester. Both issues became obvious against a Tottenham side that started its second-choice fullbacks in a 4-2-3-1 formation.
Spurs outplayed Arsenal with 11 shots on target to 4. They also outran the Gunners with a combined 117 kilometers to 107. And they proved stronger in challenges, winning 52.5% of the duels and making 8 interceptions to 5, according to the club’s website.
Xhaka struggled in midfield, winning only 16.7% of his duels compared to 41.7% for Wanyama and 50% for Ramsey and Dier. Once linked with a move to Arsenal, Wanyama displayed a tremendous work-rate, making as many tackles (6) as Ramsey and Xhaka combined, and more interceptions (3), blocks (3) and dribbles (4) than the two Gunners combined, according to Squawka.
The Gunners’ defending was not good enough as they failed to cut the supply lines to Kane, who had 5 of 7 shots on target. Some fine saves from Cech prevented Tottenham from winning by a bigger margin. The Czech goalkeeper saved an angled strike from Kane in the opening minute, tipped a long-range effort from Wanyama over the bar in the 48th, turned around the post curling shots from Vertonghen in the 45th and 68th, and denied Kane in the 77th.
Struggling to defend set pieces
Both teams struggled to keep hold of the ball in the first half. Arsenal tested Lloris only once with a curling shot from Ramsey in the 38th while Spurs could have reached halftime with a 2-0 lead if they had converted 2 big chances. Tottenham stepped on the accelerator in the beginning of the second half and the Gunners simply couldn’t match their intensity. The opening goal came from a throw-in. Eriksen rounded Koscielny in the 55th but was denied by Cech. Alli beat Gibbs and Xhaka to the rebound to flick into an empty net. Oxlade-Chamberlain could have cleared the ball with his left foot but missed his clearance with his right one.
If you remember the 1-0 win over the Foxes, 3 Leicester chances also came from a throw-in. The Gunners are really bad at defending set pieces, whether it’s corners, free kicks or throw-ins. A lack of defensive awareness combined with an inability to win key duels make them vulnerable in their own area. Arsenal switched off on a short corner in the 49th, allowing Son to make a run in behind Sanchez and fire into the side-netting. Then Alderweireld beat Koscielny to the ball in the 78th to head a corner that Cech parried. Alderweireld also held off Paulista in the seventh minute to head a corner over the bar.
Spurs capitalized on some poor decision-making from Paulista to double the lead in the 57th. Kane was running away from goal, yet Paulista tried to knock the ball away and ended up kicking Kane’s foot. The England striker converted the subsequent penalty to make it 2-0.
Ozil’s poor work-rate
Paulista performed poorly on Sunday, winning none of the 4 tackles he made, compared to 2 of 3 for Koscielny and 3 of 8 for Monreal, according to Squawka. The Brazilian defender’s poor passing skills were also exposed by Tottenham’s pressing game. His passing accuracy dropped to 65% compared to 95% for Koscielny and 89% for Monreal, according to whoscored.com.
A Paulista turnover in the 25th led to a dangerous counterattack. Son dribbled past the Ox to have a shot deflected by Koscielny. Eriksen pounced on the loose ball but somehow clipped the bar from 7 yards. In the 51st, Kane intercepted a sloppy pass from Paulista to hit a diagonal drive that didn’t trouble Cech. Paulista got booked in the 70th for a poor challenge on Alli before Bellerin replaced him in the 75th.
The Ox is usually a threat down the right flank, but Ozil’s poor work-rate gave Davies plenty of room to bomb forward. That forced the Ox to deal with both Davies and Son along the touchline. The Ox created no chance and made only one dribbling attempt because he was too busy defensively, winning 3 of 5 tackles and making 9 blocks, the most for any player according to Squawka. The England international made a good recovery to deflect Davies’ cross into the side-netting in the 18th and then put off Alli, who headed wide with the goal at his mercy in the 22nd. The Ox shifted to a central midfield position when Welbeck replaced Xhaka in the 65th.
A six-pointer against United
Arsenal’s front three proved toothless against the tightest defense in the league. Spurs have only conceded 22 goals from 34 league games compared to 42 goals from 33 games for the Gunners. Sanchez worked harder than Ozil, mustering 4 shots, creating 2 chances, winning 3 of 4 tackles, having 4 successful dribbles out of 6, and making 1 interception while Ozil won just 1 of 2 tackles and had no shot, no key pass, no dribbling attempt and no interception. Does anybody still want to pay Ozil £200,000 a week?
Up front, Giroud proved a liability to put pressure on Tottenham’s high defensive line. His lack of pace means he can’t make runs in behind. The Frenchman is more efficient against a defense sitting deep and when the Gunners dominate possession. Welbeck would have been a better option against mobile opponents.
A Top 4 finish is still possible mathematically but very difficult now that the Gunners trail Manchester City and United by 6 and 5 points respectively. Sunday’s game against the Red Devils is definitely a six-pointer. A loss or even a draw would virtually knock Arsenal out of the race for a Champions League spot. It would also confirm their inability to beat the big teams.